| Videos: Federal Reserve Chair: | search all |
| Economic Club: | 2019-01-10 |
| Joint Economic Committee: | 2018-12-05 (postponed) |
| Monetary Policy Actions: | 2018-09-26 |
| Monetary Policy and the Economy: | 2018-07-18 |
2018-07-17 | 2019-01-04 |
| News Conference: | 2018-06-13 | 2018-12-19 | 2019-01-30 |

| The Atlantic Festival: | 2018-10-03 |
| Town Hall: | 2019-02-06 |

Greater than Past 12 Months (custom)
Past 12 Months of Data Available
Bitcoin (BTC) - BENNN Forecasted Trend Analysis (2011 to 2021)


Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States (MSPUS)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States (MSPUS)

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Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS)

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Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS)

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Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N)

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Florida Housing Market - BENNN Forecasted Trend Analysis (1997 to 2033)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
The BENNN Forecast of the Florida Housing Market (see forecast chart left) is equating (perhaps one may argue) the onset of a new (future) recession by the time the Interest Rates Reach closer toward 228 to 240 for the Florida Housing Data as shown on the forecast. If needed, one may wish to illuminate/view the housing data: Freddie Mac Research Site or their spreadsheet (.xls data file). It may never reach 6% before it corrects back downward during the future/next recession (estimate 2020/2021). It may only reach about 4% as the 2001 recession reached about 6.5% and the 2008 recession reach about 5%, therefore if trend continues it may be about 4%. However the risk is between 3% and 6% in recent historical trend data.
BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
All-Transactions House Price Index for Florida (FLSTHPI)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
All-Transactions House Price Index for Florida (FLSTHPI)

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S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index (SPCS20RSA)

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S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index (SPCS20RSA)

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Monthly Supply of Houses in the United States (MSACSR)

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Monthly Supply of Houses in the United States (MSACSR)

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Housing Starts: Total: New Privately Owned Housing Units Started (HOUST)

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Housing Starts: Total: New Privately Owned Housing Units Started (HOUST)

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New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits (PERMIT)

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New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits (PERMIT)

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Special Unemployment Rate: Unemployed and Discouraged Workers (U4RATE)

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Special Unemployment Rate: Unemployed and Discouraged Workers (U4RATE)

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Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate (CIVPART)

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Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate (CIVPART)

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Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 16 to 19 years (LNU01300012)

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Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 16 to 19 years (LNU01300012)

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Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 25 to 54 years (LNS11300060)

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Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 25 to 54 years (LNS11300060)

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Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 55 years and over (LNS11324230)

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Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 55 years and over (LNS11324230)

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Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items (CPIAUCSL)

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Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items (CPIAUCSL)

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Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS)

BENNN Forecasted Recession End Date:
Effective Federal Funds Rate - BENNN Forecasted Trend Analysis (1994 to 2022)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
The BENNN Forecast of the Effective Federal Funds Rate (see forecast chart left) is equating (perhaps one may argue) the onset of a new (future) recession by the time the Interest Rates Reach closer toward 3% to 6%. It may never reach 6% before it corrects back downward during the future/next recession (estimate 2020/2021). It may only reach about 4% as the 2001 recession reached about 6.5% and the 2008 recession reach about 5%, therefore if trend continues it may be about 4%. However the risk is between 3% and 6% in recent historical trend data.
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Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS)

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Effective Federal Funds Rate - BENNN Forecasted Trend Analysis (1955 to 2066)
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Median Consumer Price Index (MEDCPIM158SFRBCLE)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
Median Consumer Price Index (MEDCPIM158SFRBCLE)

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All Employees: Total Nonfarm Payrolls (PAYEMS)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
All Employees: Total Nonfarm Payrolls (PAYEMS)

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Real Gross Domestic Product (A191RL1Q225SBEA)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
Real Gross Domestic Product (A191RL1Q225SBEA)

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St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index (STLFSI)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index (STLFSI)

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U.S. / Euro Foreign Exchange Rate (DEXUSEU)

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U.S. / Euro Foreign Exchange Rate (DEXUSEU)

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Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Purchasing Power of the Consumer Dollar (CUUR0000SA0R)

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Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Purchasing Power of the Consumer Dollar (CUUR0000SA0R)

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Federal Minimum Wage Rate Relative to Purchasing Power - BENNN Forecasted Trend Analysis (1936 to 2036)
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Federal Minimum Wage Rate under the Federal Fair Labor Standards Act (STTMINWGFG)

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Federal Minimum Wage Rate under the Federal Fair Labor Standards Act (STTMINWGFG)

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Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities (RECPROUSM156N)

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Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities (RECPROUSM156N)

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Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR)

BENNN Forecasted Recession End Date:
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)

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Gold Fixing Price 10:30 A.M. (London time) in London Bullion Market, based in U.S. Dollars (GOLDAMGBD228NLBM)

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Gold Fixing Price 10:30 A.M. (London time) in London Bullion Market, based in U.S. Dollars (GOLDAMGBD228NLBM)

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Total Reserves excluding Gold for China (TRESEGCNM052N)

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Total Reserves excluding Gold for China (TRESEGCNM052N)

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Nonfinancial corporate business; debt securities; liability, Level (NCBDBIQ027S)

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Nonfinancial corporate business; debt securities; liability, Level (NCBDBIQ027S)

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Nonfinancial Corporate Business; Credit Market Debt as a Percentage of the Market Value of Corporate Equities (NCBCMDPMVCE)

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Nonfinancial Corporate Business; Credit Market Debt as a Percentage of the Market Value of Corporate Equities (NCBCMDPMVCE)

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Personal Consumption Expenditures excluding Food and Energy (chain-type price index) (BPCCRO1Q156NBEA)

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Personal Consumption Expenditures excluding Food and Energy (chain-type price index) (BPCCRO1Q156NBEA)

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Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCEC96)

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCEC96)

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All Federal Reserve Banks: Total Assets (WALCL)

The All Federal Reserve Banks: Total Assets (above) is estimated to slowly shift downwards from 2018 to around 2022 as of October 2018 (for now and can shift at any time) trend rate.

BENNN Forecasted Recession Start Date:
All Federal Reserve Banks: Total Assets (WALCL)

The All Federal Reserve Banks: Total Assets (above) is estimated to slowly shift downwards from 2018 to around 2022 as of October 2018 (for now and can shift at any time) trend rate.

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Total Vehicle Sales (TOTALSA)

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Total Vehicle Sales (TOTALSA)

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